Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $74000.00 plus dime player run! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Apr 26, 2024 Oilers vs Kings |
OVER 6½ +105 |
Won $105 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
. Both offenses are playing extremely well ,while both goaltenders are struggling vs explosive tick tack toe play with 11 goals scored in game 1 and 9 goals scored in game 2. Note:Kings goalie Cam Talbot, has now allowed three or more goals in eight of his last 10 starts dating back to the regular season. Talbot has garnered a ugly .883 SV% and 3.36 GAA over that time Oilers golatender Skinner Dating back to the regular season owns a 1-2 record and nasty looking .829 SV% and 5.49 GAA. Hes backed by a D, that looks in disarray at times which is reflected in thier 12th ranled Expected Goals Against per 60 minutes (xGA/60) at 5-on-5. ( EDMONTON is 15-4 OVER after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. Play over |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 26, 2024 Diamondbacks vs Mariners |
OVER 7½ -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Diamondbacks are averaging 5.73 runs per game and according to my early season pitcher vs batting order power rankings have an edge for a stellar outing vs Hancock (6.10 ERA) here today and could easily eclipse this totals offering on their own. Meanwhile, Seattle despite of their struggling offense matchup well vs Gallen, who owns a 7.20 ERA in two road starts this season, and is backed by a bullpen that owns 4.83 ERA on the road this season. LOVULLO is 30-13 OVER in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of ARIZONA with a average of 10 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - sub standard AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less), cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games. are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% converison rate for bettors. Play over |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Apr 26, 2024 Bucks vs Pacers |
OVER 220½ -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Pacers were in true run and gun form in game 2 of this series winning by a 125-108 count. The Bucks will have to ramp up their attack here in game two or be blown of the court as Im betting the Pacers on their own home floor will feed off the energy of the crowd and be in full flight. This will lead to a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers are estimating. INDIANA is 8-0 OVER in home games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 263.3 ppg scored. Carlisle is 15-3 OVER in April games as the coach of INDIANA with a combined average of 245.3 ppg scored. INDIANA is 40-21 OVER \ when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. INDIANA in their L/43 when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 236 ppg go on the board. MILWAUKEE in 39 road games this season has seen a combined average of 234.7 ppg scored.MILWAUKEE iin 20 games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season have seen a combined average of 247.7 ppg scored. These teams have gone over in 5 of the L/6 meetings here in Indiana. Play on the over |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |